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  4. Monetary and Financial Developments in August 2024

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null Monetary and Financial Developments in August 2024

Monetary and Financial Developments in August 2024

Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Monday, 30 September 2024
30 Sep 2024

Headline and core inflation remained stable

  • In August, headline inflation edged lower to 1.9% (July 2024: 2%), while core inflation[1] remained unchanged at 1.9% (July 2024: 1.9%).
  • The decline in headline inflation was mainly driven by lower inflation in water supply and food away from home.

Manufacturing production remained strong in July 2024

  • The manufacturing industrial production index expanded further by 7.7% in July 2024 (June 2024: 5.2%).
  • Export-oriented clusters expanded further as shown in the higher production of both electrical and electronics (E&E) and primary-related products such as wood and rubber.
  • Sustained growth in domestic-oriented clusters was underpinned by higher production in tobacco and positive turnaround in wearing apparel and the automotive subcluster.

Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector moderated in August

  • Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector moderated to 5.3% as at end-August (July 2024: 5.5%) amid lower outstanding loan growth (5.8%; July 2024: 6.2%). Growth in outstanding corporate bonds increased to 3.2% (July 2024: 3%).
  • Household loan growth was sustained at 6.2% (July 2024: 6.2%), with steady growth across most purposes, including purchase of houses and cars.
  • For businesses, loan growth moderated to 5.2% (July 2024: 6%), on account of slower growth in working capital loans among non-SMEs. Notwithstanding, SME loan growth was sustained across both working capital and investment purposes.

Domestic financial markets remained largely driven by external developments, including increased expectations of US monetary policy easing

  • In August, financial market participants’ expectations shifted towards the possibility of earlier and deeper policy rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve, following US economic data suggesting a slowdown in the labour market and cooling inflation.
  • Against this backdrop, the ringgit appreciated by 6.7% against the US dollar (regional[2] average: +4.2%). The 10-year Malaysian Government Securities (MGS) yield remained relatively stable, rising by a modest 4bps (regional2 average: -11bps), while the FTSE Bursa Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (FBM KLCI) traded higher by 3.3% (regional2 average: +1.8%).

Banks’ liquidity and funding positions remained supportive of intermediation activities

  • The banking system continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with an aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio of 145.4% (July 2024: 150.8%).
  • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained broadly stable at 83.8% (July 2024: 83%).

The banking system resilience continues to be underpinned by sound asset quality

  • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios remained stable at 1.6% and 1%, respectively.
  • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continued to be at a prudent level of 123.8% of impaired loans (July 2024: 124.5%).

[1] Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items.

[2] Regional countries comprise: Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia and South Korea.

Monthly Highlights [PDF]

 

Bank Negara Malaysia
30 September 2024

© Bank Negara Malaysia, 2024. All rights reserved.

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